The below table shows the top 20 teams from Europe’s top leagues who have actual goals that have far outperformed their expected goals (xG).

That can be down to a multitude of reasons but the most common two are either the teams have great strikers who outperform averages or they are just lucky in front of goal.

Some of the usual suspects are there (Juve, PSG, Man City etc) with a few surprises who may fit into the lucky category!

xG Lucky Teams