Updated for upcoming games. Remember there can be strange results in the early rounds so tread carefully! Key stats include: Poisson model (based on Expected Goals and team strength) to help identify value in the match and Over 2.5 odds. Expected goal averages across 2, 5 and 10 games plus
Updated for upcoming games. Remember there can be strange results in the early rounds so tread carefully! [21Sep: Updated for midweek fixtures, 23Sep: MLS Games added] Key stats include: Poisson model (based on Expected Goals and team strength) to help identify value in the match and Over 2.5 odds. Expected
We're back. Updated for upcoming games. Remember there can be strange results in the early rounds so tread carefully! [14Sep: Updated for midweek fixtures and a missing MLS game] Key stats include: Poisson model (based on Expected Goals and team strength) to help identify value in the match and Over
New spreadsheet for the weekend games (updated for midweek games, 9/9: updated missing odds) [Updates occur Friday and Monday around 3pm) Key stats include: Poisson model (based on Expected Goals and team strength) to help identify value in the match and Over 2.5 odds. Expected goal averages across 2, 5
New spreadsheet for the midweek games (Error in MLS games due to MLS Back games incorrectly feeding - corrected in v2 updated below). Massive Caveat: The spreadsheet is BETA - I'm releasing now to enable ironing out of errors prior to the start of the major European Leagues. Please use
New spreadsheet for the weekends games. Massive Caveat: The spreadsheet is BETA - I'm releasing now to enable ironing out of errors prior to the start of the major European Leagues. Please use the contact page for any errors identified or questions regarding the data. Changes include: Stats showing the
2nd round of the new spreadsheet (Updated for games until Friday - early odds not available on a number games). Massive Caveat: The spreadsheet is BETA - I'm releasing now to enable ironing out of errors prior to the start of the major European Leagues. Please use the contact page
We're back! Rather than being on a break, there has been a lot of development work behind the scenes to provide more insights and stats. Massive Caveat: The spreadsheet is BETA - I'm releasing now to enable ironing out of errors prior to the start of the major European Leagues.
Taking a break is probably not the correct phrase. As all the major leagues have finished, I'm taking a break from posting the spreadsheets. Rather than putting my feet up and having a beer, I'll be spending the time developing a number of additional features for the website. This includes:
Excel summary for upcoming games [31Jul20: Games up to Sunday added]. Spreadsheet link: Footballxg.com - Last 2,5,10 Stats - 31 July to 2 August **NEW** v2 Spreadsheet link: [Coming soon with additional stats] Spreadsheet Guide: spreadsheet guide is available on the blog: spreadsheet guide Poisson predictions v2.0: xG predictions are
