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  • Poisson Predictions

Upcoming Games – 3 to 9 Jul 2020

Excel summary for upcoming games. Spreadsheet Guide: spreadsheet guide is available on the blog: spreadsheet guide Poisson predictions v2.0: xG predictions are calculated based off xG, team strength, current form.  Columns G:J shows where there is value in the game via comparing the Poisson prediction to the bookmaker odds (NB:

2020-07-06T17:17:30+00:00July 3rd, 2020|
  • Poisson Predictions

Upcoming Games – 26Jun-2Jul 2020

Excel summary for upcoming games [Updated for mid-week games]. Spreadsheet Guide: spreadsheet guide is available on the blog: spreadsheet guide Poisson predictions v2.0: xG predictions are calculated based off xG, team strength, current form.  Columns G:J shows where there is value in the game via comparing the Poisson prediction to

2020-06-29T14:16:36+00:00June 26th, 2020|
  • Poisson Predictions

Upcoming Games – 19 to 25Jun 2020

Excel summary for upcoming games [Updated for midweek games] Spreadsheet Guide: spreadsheet guide is available on the blog: spreadsheet guide Poisson predictions v2.0: xG predictions are calculated based off xG, team strength, current form.  Columns G:J shows where there is value in the game via comparing the Poisson prediction to

2020-06-22T05:15:32+00:00June 19th, 2020|
  • Poisson Predictions

Upcoming Games – 12 to 18Jun 2020

Excel summary for upcoming games. [UPDATED FOR MID-WEEK GAMES] Spreadsheet Guide: spreadsheet guide is available on the blog: spreadsheet guide Poisson predictions v2.0: xG predictions are calculated based off xG, team strength, current form.  Columns G:J shows where there is value in the game via comparing the Poisson prediction to

2020-06-16T05:47:43+00:00June 12th, 2020|
  • Poisson Predictions

Upcoming Games – 5Jun to 11Jun 2020

Excel summary for upcoming games. [Updated for midweek games] Spreadsheet Guide: after a few requests a short guide on how to use the spreadsheet is available on the blog: spreadsheet guide Poisson predictions v2.0: xG predictions are calculated based off xG, team strength, current form.  Columns G:J shows where there

2020-06-09T08:49:58+00:00June 5th, 2020|
  • Poisson Predictions

Upcoming Games – 29May to 4Jun 2020

Excel summary for upcoming games.  Updated for mid-week games. [NEW] Spreadsheet Guide: after a few requests a short guide on how to use the spreadsheet is available on the blog: spreadsheet guide Poisson predictions v2.0: multiple tweaks to the prediction model to enable adjustments where individual league averages do not

2020-06-02T14:02:29+00:00May 29th, 2020|
  • Poisson Predictions

Upcoming Games – 26 to 28 May 2020

Excel summary for upcoming games. Please note: the model has not been adjusted for the impact of teams playing with no fans. [NEW] Spreadsheet Guide: after a few requests, a short guide on how to use the spreadsheet is available on the blog: spreadsheet guide Poisson predictions v2.0: multiple tweaks

2020-05-25T14:03:04+00:00May 25th, 2020|
  • Football Xg

Stats Spreadsheet Guide

Football xG Statistics Spreadsheet I’ve had a few questions on how to utilise the weekly spreadsheet. There are a thousand different possibilities but below are some key areas to think about.  First I want to cover the important area of what the spreadsheet does not cover. Areas not covered

2020-05-24T14:47:49+00:00May 24th, 2020|
  • Poisson Predictions

Upcoming Games – 22 to 24 May 2020

Excel summary for upcoming games.  The Poisson model has been updated and the layout of the spreadsheet updated slightly to show current odds and value % for Home, Draw, Away and Over 2.5 odds.  Any errors or suggestions for improvement, please feel free to contact me via the website or

2020-05-20T15:46:17+00:00May 20th, 2020|
  • Poisson Predictions

We are back!! – 16 May to 18 May 2020

Excel summary for upcoming Bundesliga games.  Appears a lot of value in the shorter odds but this is largely due to the market applying a discount due to the uncertainty around how teams will perform post the break. Poisson predictions v2.0:  xG predictions are calculated based off xG, team strength,

2020-05-15T16:42:20+00:00May 14th, 2020|