27Nov: Updated for upcoming games. 30Nov: updated for midweek games. Key stats include: Poisson model (based on Expected Goals and team strength) to help identify value in the match and Over 2.5 odds. Expected goal averages across 2, 5 and 10 games plus last 2 games averages regardless of whether
Updated for upcoming games [23Nov: midweek games added] [NB: 21Nov: the poisson model has been adjusted to account for the change in WDL likelihood in the no-crowd era] Key stats include: Poisson model (based on Expected Goals and team strength) to help identify value in the match and Over 2.5
Updated for upcoming games. Key stats include: Poisson model (based on Expected Goals and team strength) to help identify value in the match and Over 2.5 odds. Expected goal averages across 2, 5 and 10 games plus last 2 games averages regardless of whether the game was played home or
Updated for upcoming games. Key stats include: Poisson model (based on Expected Goals and team strength) to help identify value in the match and Over 2.5 odds. Expected goal averages across 2, 5 and 10 games plus last 2 games averages regardless of whether the game was played home or
Updated for upcoming games. [NOTE: I've had a few messages that early versions of excel are struggling to open the spreadsheet. Any problems, feel free to drop us a message through Twitter or the contact form] Key stats include: Poisson model (based on Expected Goals and team strength) to help
Updated for upcoming games. [NOTE: I've had a few messages that early versions of excel are struggling to open the spreadsheet. Any problems, feel free to drop us a message through Twitter or the contact form] Key stats include: Poisson model (based on Expected Goals and team strength) to help
Updated for upcoming games. [NOTE: The order of the 'results after score/concede columns have changed. Home Score/Away Concede are now directly under each other to be able to more quickly see the best course of action post a goal] Key stats include: Poisson model (based on Expected Goals and team
Updated for upcoming games. [NOTE: The order of the 'results after score/concede columns have changed. Home Score/Away Concede are now directly under each other to be able to more quickly see the best course of action post a goal] Key stats include: Poisson model (based on Expected Goals and team
Updated for upcoming games. There have been unusual results in the early rounds so tread carefully! Key stats include: Poisson model (based on Expected Goals and team strength) to help identify value in the match and Over 2.5 odds. Expected goal averages across 2, 5 and 10 games plus last
Updated for upcoming games. Remember there can be strange results in the early rounds so tread carefully! Key stats include: Poisson model (based on Expected Goals and team strength) to help identify value in the match and Over 2.5 odds. Expected goal averages across 2, 5 and 10 games plus
