Upcoming Games – 29May to 4Jun 2020
Excel summary for upcoming games. Updated for mid-week games. [NEW] Spreadsheet Guide: after a few requests a short guide on how to use the spreadsheet is available on the blog: spreadsheet guide Poisson predictions v2.0: multiple tweaks to the prediction model to enable adjustments where individual league averages do not
Upcoming Games – 26 to 28 May 2020
Excel summary for upcoming games. Please note: the model has not been adjusted for the impact of teams playing with no fans. [NEW] Spreadsheet Guide: after a few requests, a short guide on how to use the spreadsheet is available on the blog: spreadsheet guide Poisson predictions v2.0: multiple tweaks
Stats Spreadsheet Guide
Football xG Statistics Spreadsheet I’ve had a few questions on how to utilise the weekly spreadsheet. There are a thousand different possibilities but below are some key areas to think about. First I want to cover the important area of what the spreadsheet does not cover. Areas not covered
Upcoming Games – 22 to 24 May 2020
Excel summary for upcoming games. The Poisson model has been updated and the layout of the spreadsheet updated slightly to show current odds and value % for Home, Draw, Away and Over 2.5 odds. Any errors or suggestions for improvement, please feel free to contact me via the website or
We are back!! – 16 May to 18 May 2020
Excel summary for upcoming Bundesliga games. Appears a lot of value in the shorter odds but this is largely due to the market applying a discount due to the uncertainty around how teams will perform post the break. Poisson predictions v2.0: xG predictions are calculated based off xG, team strength,
Taking a break
Unless you've been living under a rock (which would actually be beneficial for social distancing) you will have noticed there is not much football going on. The site will be taking a break until football returns.
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