xg

  • Poisson Predictions

Upcoming Games – 29May to 4Jun 2020

Excel summary for upcoming games.  Updated for mid-week games. [NEW] Spreadsheet Guide: after a few requests a short guide on how to use the spreadsheet is available on the blog: spreadsheet guide Poisson predictions v2.0: multiple tweaks to the prediction model to enable adjustments where individual league averages do not

2020-06-02T14:02:29+00:00May 29th, 2020|
  • Poisson Predictions

Upcoming Games – 26 to 28 May 2020

Excel summary for upcoming games. Please note: the model has not been adjusted for the impact of teams playing with no fans. [NEW] Spreadsheet Guide: after a few requests, a short guide on how to use the spreadsheet is available on the blog: spreadsheet guide Poisson predictions v2.0: multiple tweaks

2020-05-25T14:03:04+00:00May 25th, 2020|
  • Football Xg

Stats Spreadsheet Guide

Football xG Statistics Spreadsheet I’ve had a few questions on how to utilise the weekly spreadsheet. There are a thousand different possibilities but below are some key areas to think about.  First I want to cover the important area of what the spreadsheet does not cover. Areas not covered

2020-05-24T14:47:49+00:00May 24th, 2020|
  • Poisson Predictions

Upcoming Games – 22 to 24 May 2020

Excel summary for upcoming games.  The Poisson model has been updated and the layout of the spreadsheet updated slightly to show current odds and value % for Home, Draw, Away and Over 2.5 odds.  Any errors or suggestions for improvement, please feel free to contact me via the website or

2020-05-20T15:46:17+00:00May 20th, 2020|
  • Poisson Predictions

We are back!! – 16 May to 18 May 2020

Excel summary for upcoming Bundesliga games.  Appears a lot of value in the shorter odds but this is largely due to the market applying a discount due to the uncertainty around how teams will perform post the break. Poisson predictions v2.0:  xG predictions are calculated based off xG, team strength,

2020-05-15T16:42:20+00:00May 14th, 2020|
  • Poisson Predictions

Upcoming Games – 13 Mar to 15 Mar 2020

Excel summary for upcoming games. Poisson predictions v2.0: multiple tweaks to the prediction model to enable adjustments where individual league averages do not align with a basic Poisson distribution.  xG predictions are calculated based off xG, team strength, current form.  Column I also shows where there is value in the

2020-03-13T15:55:15+00:00March 13th, 2020|
  • Poisson Predictions

Upcoming Games – 6 Mar to 11 Mar 2020

Excel summary for upcoming games. Poisson predictions v2.0: multiple tweaks to the prediction model to enable adjustments where individual league averages do not align with a basic Poisson distribution.  xG predictions are calculated based off xG, team strength, current form.  Column I also shows where there is value in the

2020-03-10T15:37:34+00:00March 6th, 2020|
  • Excel crosstab

Export xG data into Excel

How to export Expected Goal (xG) League Table data into excel? A useful feature of the website is the ability to be able to export xG data into Excel for use in your own systems or analysis. The xG tables are found in the statistics section of the website.

2020-05-20T15:32:34+00:00February 28th, 2020|
  • Poisson Predictions

Upcoming Games – 28 Feb to 4 Mar 2020

Updated for midweek games. Poisson predictions: new columns have been added showing the estimated odds and related percentage chances of a win.  These are calculated based off xG, team strength, current form.  Column I also shows where there is value in the game via comparing the Poisson prediction to the

2020-03-03T17:39:18+00:00February 27th, 2020|
  • Poisson Predictions

Upcoming Games – 20 to 26 Feb 2020

####NEW: Poisson predictions added to the spreadsheet.##### Poisson predictions: new columns have been added showing the estimated odds and related percentage chances of a win.  These are calculated based off xG, team strength, current form.  Column I also shows where there is value in the game via comparing the Poisson

2020-02-24T10:46:56+00:00February 20th, 2020|