Team A have taken 10 long shots. Team B have had 4 shots from close range 1-on-1 situations with the keeper. In pure shots terms the stats suggest that 10 shots are better than 4 (net +6) but in reality team B had a lot higher percentage chance of winning the game.
An analysis of 5469 games highlighted that shots only predict the home result correctly 54% of the time and away result 41%. This is significantly lower than Shots on Target and Expected Goals.