XG Predictions

By looking at expected goals of historical matches, current form and strength of opposition and running a number of statistical scenarios, the expected net goals is calculated which is then converted into a percentage chance of winning. Once we have the percentage chance of winning, we can easily convert that

You are correct that the bookies can predict the expected outcome of any match with a great amount of accuracy. The main difference is that the average punter is not always rational, so the bookies will adjust their book to where the demand is coming from rather than the