Football xG Updates and Blog

Updated for upcoming games. Key stats include: Poisson model (based on Expected Goals and team strength) to help identify value in the match and Over 2.5 odds. Expected goal averages across 2, 5 and 10 games plus last 2 games averages regardless of whether the game was played home or

Updated for upcoming games. [NOTE: I've had a few messages that early versions of excel are struggling to open the spreadsheet.  Any problems, feel free to drop us a message through Twitter or the contact form] Key stats include: Poisson model (based on Expected Goals and team strength) to help

Updated for upcoming games. [NOTE: I've had a few messages that early versions of excel are struggling to open the spreadsheet.  Any problems, feel free to drop us a message through Twitter or the contact form] Key stats include: Poisson model (based on Expected Goals and team strength) to help

Updated for upcoming games. [NOTE: The order of the 'results after score/concede columns have changed.  Home Score/Away Concede are now directly under each other to be able to more quickly see the best course of action post a goal] Key stats include: Poisson model (based on Expected Goals and team

Updated for upcoming games. [NOTE: The order of the 'results after score/concede columns have changed.  Home Score/Away Concede are now directly under each other to be able to more quickly see the best course of action post a goal] Key stats include: Poisson model (based on Expected Goals and team

Updated for upcoming games.  There have been unusual results in the early rounds so tread carefully! Key stats include: Poisson model (based on Expected Goals and team strength) to help identify value in the match and Over 2.5 odds. Expected goal averages across 2, 5 and 10 games plus last