Excel summary for upcoming Bundesliga games. Appears a lot of value in the shorter odds but this is largely due to the market applying a discount due to the uncertainty around how teams will perform post the break. Poisson predictions v2.0: xG predictions are calculated based off xG, team strength,
Excel summary for upcoming games. Poisson predictions v2.0: multiple tweaks to the prediction model to enable adjustments where individual league averages do not align with a basic Poisson distribution. xG predictions are calculated based off xG, team strength, current form. Column I also shows where there is value in the
Excel summary for upcoming games. Poisson predictions v2.0: multiple tweaks to the prediction model to enable adjustments where individual league averages do not align with a basic Poisson distribution. xG predictions are calculated based off xG, team strength, current form. Column I also shows where there is value in the
Updated for midweek games. Poisson predictions: new columns have been added showing the estimated odds and related percentage chances of a win. These are calculated based off xG, team strength, current form. Column I also shows where there is value in the game via comparing the Poisson prediction to the
####NEW: Poisson predictions added to the spreadsheet.##### Poisson predictions: new columns have been added showing the estimated odds and related percentage chances of a win. These are calculated based off xG, team strength, current form. Column I also shows where there is value in the game via comparing the Poisson
Spreadsheet updated. Poisson predictions coming next week. Caveat: The spreadsheet is BETA and remains WIP. Please use the contact page for any questions regarding the data. Spreadsheet link: Footballxg.com - Last 2,5,10 Stats - 14 to 19 Feb
Spreadsheet updated (further update to include games up to the 12th) Caveat: The spreadsheet is BETA and remains WIP. Please use the contact page for any questions regarding the data. Spreadsheet link: Footballxg.com - Last 2,5,10 Stats - 5 to 12 Feb
Spreadsheet for weekend games updated. Changes: averages for last 2 games. Future Update: same as before.....I'm still running a number of tests on the predictions before it gets added to the spreadsheet. Running 20,000 lines of data through the poisson model takes some time but have automated that now so
Spreadsheet for games up to Friday included. Changes: averages for last 2 games. Future Update: same as before.....I'm still running a number of tests on the predictions before it gets added to the spreadsheet. Running 20,000 lines of data through the poisson model takes some time but have automated that
Spreadsheet for games up to Monday included. Changes: Home and Away odds column added along with averages for 5 games. Future Update: I'm still running a number of tests on the predictions before it gets added to the spreadsheet. Running 20,000 lines of data through the poisson model takes some
