Excel summary for upcoming games. Updated for mid-week games. [NEW] Spreadsheet Guide: after a few requests a short guide on how to use the spreadsheet is available on the blog: spreadsheet guide Poisson predictions v2.0: multiple tweaks to the prediction model to enable adjustments where individual league averages do not
Excel summary for upcoming games. Please note: the model has not been adjusted for the impact of teams playing with no fans. [NEW] Spreadsheet Guide: after a few requests, a short guide on how to use the spreadsheet is available on the blog: spreadsheet guide Poisson predictions v2.0: multiple tweaks
Football xG Statistics Spreadsheet I’ve had a few questions on how to utilise the weekly spreadsheet. There are a thousand different possibilities but below are some key areas to think about. First I want to cover the important area of what the spreadsheet does not cover. Areas not covered
Excel summary for upcoming games. The Poisson model has been updated and the layout of the spreadsheet updated slightly to show current odds and value % for Home, Draw, Away and Over 2.5 odds. Any errors or suggestions for improvement, please feel free to contact me via the website or
Excel summary for upcoming Bundesliga games. Appears a lot of value in the shorter odds but this is largely due to the market applying a discount due to the uncertainty around how teams will perform post the break. Poisson predictions v2.0: xG predictions are calculated based off xG, team strength,
Excel summary for upcoming games. Poisson predictions v2.0: multiple tweaks to the prediction model to enable adjustments where individual league averages do not align with a basic Poisson distribution. xG predictions are calculated based off xG, team strength, current form. Column I also shows where there is value in the
Excel summary for upcoming games. Poisson predictions v2.0: multiple tweaks to the prediction model to enable adjustments where individual league averages do not align with a basic Poisson distribution. xG predictions are calculated based off xG, team strength, current form. Column I also shows where there is value in the
Updated for midweek games. Poisson predictions: new columns have been added showing the estimated odds and related percentage chances of a win. These are calculated based off xG, team strength, current form. Column I also shows where there is value in the game via comparing the Poisson prediction to the
####NEW: Poisson predictions added to the spreadsheet.##### Poisson predictions: new columns have been added showing the estimated odds and related percentage chances of a win. These are calculated based off xG, team strength, current form. Column I also shows where there is value in the game via comparing the Poisson
Spreadsheet updated. Poisson predictions coming next week. Caveat: The spreadsheet is BETA and remains WIP. Please use the contact page for any questions regarding the data. Spreadsheet link: Footballxg.com - Last 2,5,10 Stats - 14 to 19 Feb
